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Radical Uncertainty : Decision-Making Beyond the Numbers Subclass_Branding Georgetown scientist Sarah Stewart Johnson

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Description

Georgetown scientist Sarah Stewart Johnson tells the story of how she and other researchers have scoured Mars for signs of life

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Radical Uncertainty : Decision-Making Beyond the Numbers Subclass_Branding Georgetown scientist Sarah Stewart JohnsonSome uncertainties are resolvable. The insurance industry's actuarial tables and the gambler's roulette wheel both yield to the tools of probability theory. Most situations in life, however, involve a deeper kind of uncertainty, a radical uncertainty for which historical data provide no useful guidance to future outcomes. Radical uncertainty concerns events whose determinants are insufficiently understood for probabilities to be known or forecasting

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